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Last week, the RBA hiked interest rates again and tried to claim the economy was overheating. One way that we assess that claim is via the wages pressure in the labour market. An economy that is running out of productive resources, typically sees firms competing for scarce workers and bidding up wages to attract them.…

Last week, the RBA increased interested rates claiming there was a growing capacity constraint (even though there is 10.2 per cent labour underutilisation) and inflationary expectations were increasing and in danger of propelling inflation even further. The RBA governor once again threatened the Treasurer along the lines of ‘unless you cut net spending we will…

In some respects, we are back to where we were in 2021 when the supply constraints that arose from the COVID lockdowns and widespread illnesses started to reveal themselves in escalating prices around the world. This time it is the US-Israel folly in the Middle East that is the culprit and the supply constraints are…

The income and wealth inequality that continues to grow in most advanced nations has led to some new terminology being introduced into the lexicon of economic terms, the – K-shaped economy: When growth moves in two different directions. When this pattern of growth is identified you know how far out of kilter the world has…

A lot of the post WW2 institutional structure is being challenged at present and/or vanishing altogether. Some of the changing environment will prove to be disastrous for the world, while some of the changes are likely to be beneficial. There will also be pro and con of many of the disruptions. Tomorrow (May 1, 2026),…